Tuesday, December 21, 2021

"Donatien's Children" - new SF novel by Adam Carlton

Link to PDF

I have now completed the text for this, my first science-fiction novel (I published a book of short stories in 2019: Freyja’s Deathbed Conversations: and other stories).

"Donatien's Children" is now available on Amazon as a Kindle eBook - the paperback version will be there in a day or two, but you may read the novel for free by following the link below the image above (PDF). Let me know if you find any typos or errors which need attention via comments below.

Here's a summary of the book: first the blurb and then a longer guide. It will answer your first question: Donatien?

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Donatien's Children

Introduction

The StarDrop Corporation emerged from nowhere offering new technologies for fusion power, spaceflight and synthetic life. Petra Schelling, teen chess prodigy, was recruited by an intelligence agency to spy on StarDrop - before vanishing. James Melrose, her controller, is told that losing an agent is regrettable but it happens. But why has Petra now become a high-profile StarDrop agent of influence?

StarDrop’s Artificial People are suddenly everywhere in entertainment, the media, politics and top jobs. Friendly, attractive and smart, they are indispensable in tough assignments such as the mission investigating an anomaly on the larger Martian moon, where an artefact suggests StarDrop might be of extraterrestrial origin.

Élise and Mireille Fossey: two sisters, one a journalist, the other a researcher. For Élise, StarDrop will lead her into more than lethal peril; for Mireille, the corporation may be humanity's finest opportunity... or maybe a deadly, existential threat.

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Themes

Prologue:        I’m Not Awake - 2022

Part 1: La Maîtresse des Échecs - 2023

Part 2: Petra - 2028 (winter to autumn)

Intermission: Mother Christmas (2029)

Part 3: La Double Inconstance (2030 winter to 2031 summer)

Part 4: La Philosophie dans le Salon (2032 spring-summer)

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Part 1 considers what remains of a competitive activity when the machines have comprehensively surpassed human-level performance; and the nature of an equilibrium when you can always win through cheating. I had cycling - road racing - and Lance Armstrong in mind when I wrote this part.

Part 2 leverages my own experiences working in an industrial research lab, although nothing remotely as exciting ever occurred. Petra is very loosely modelled after my divisional director; other characters are also variants of colleagues.

Part 3 follows the theme of La Double Inconstance, a romantic comedy by French playwright Pierre de Marivaux first performed in 1723. A young woman, Sylvia, is kidnapped from her lover, Arlequin, by the Prince who intends to marry her. Through a complex series of engagements the Prince and his smart female servant Flaminia conspire to break the Sylvia-Arlequin relationship, resulting in a switch of partners.*

Part 4 follows (very loosely!) a theme from La Philosophie dans le Boudoir, published in 1795 by Donatien Alphonse François, Marquis de Sade. Set in a bedroom, the two lead characters argue that the only moral system that reinforces the recent (1789) French revolution is libertinism. Dolmancé is the most dominant (and evil) of the characters in the dialogues. Eugénie (a fifteen year old) has been sent by her father to be corrupted by him and his associates into libertine ways. The fifth section, a lengthy political monologue, comprises de Sade’s manifesto.*

That short book - French and English versions freely available in PDF format on the Internet - is almost unreadably graphic in places in its gleeful accounts of the most depraved sexual practices. Considered pornographic for centuries, it is now considered an extreme polemic on sexual politics. 

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* Some of the text here edited from the corresponding Wikipedia articles.


Saturday, December 04, 2021

Prof Jo Phoenix and the Open University

Following the report in The Times today about Professor Jo Phoenix's forced resignation from the OU, I have sent the letter below to the Vice Chancellor, Tim Blackman by email.

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Dear Vice Chancellor,

As an OU graduate, I have financially supported the university for many years, being particularly grateful for its teaching expertise in STEM subjects.

But after reading about the hounding of Jo Phoenix in today's Times I have decided to terminate my DD to you.

This is not the kind of university culture I can identify with.

Yours sincerely,

Dr Nigel Seel.

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I am genuinely disgusted. The OU pioneered high-quality university-level teaching for a generation of predominantly working-class people who were ignored by hidebound traditional universities. The quality of their science, mathematics and computer science courses was uniformly high - really impressive.

This latest capitulation to the anti-science lobby within the university itself just crosses a line for me. We've lost another university.

Sad.

Wednesday, November 24, 2021

Sudowrite: an AI writer's assistant document

 

Sudowrite: an AI writing assistant

Here are the opening paragraphs of my forthcoming Christmas story, Mother Christmas, to be posted here mid-December. How would a state-of-the-art, GPT-3 powered AI writing assistant carry the narrative on?

This is how I start:

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Mother Christmas

Long periods of boredom punctuated by moments of sheer… what? 

Abuse? Intrusiveness? More tedium?

It’s been another quiet afternoon. Times are certainly hard in retail this joyous season. The Great Stagnation, they’re calling it.

But hark! First the echoing clacks of shoes on marble, then these three emerge around the corner to my left, tired refugees from the mall’s lengthy main aisle. Mummy, Daddy and Teenage Boy. Their clothes are dowdy and unfashionable: meet the drabs.

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I paste this into Sudowrite (free trial) and ask it to continue. It offers me three choices: here is what I’d reckon to be its best effort.

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“The boy is doing his best to look cool, but he’s having trouble hiding the fact that he’s bored out of his mind. He’s got that glazed expression that says ‘My life is so lame.’

And it is.

He might play football for his school, he might have a couple of mates, he might have a girlfriend… but he has no idea what it means to be alive. His world has been boxed in by rules and regulations. He’s not allowed to explore new frontiers, to take risks.

It’s just a matter of time before he rebels. Then he’ll be right back here on the couch next to yours truly, joining the other drabs, the whole miserable army of them.

The family drabs are followed by the sole remaining customer of the day. She’s wearing a jacket of some kind on top of a formal-looking dress - a rare mix for this town, let alone this time of year. She’s a special one. Not part of the drab folk. You can tell.

She approaches the counter with a spring in her step, the only customer who’s not traipsing through this place like a cross between a junkie and someone who’s just been diagnosed with terminal cancer.

She’s quite pretty, actually, if you like the wide-mouthed, round-eyed type.”

---

I think that’s pretty creditable actually, though it's not the way I was taking the story. It’s all been synthesised by the program, none of it copied wholesale from the net. The style is quite zingy, the descriptions fresh.

The program has a bunch of tools. It will elaborate descriptions. So if I select: ‘mall’s lengthy main aisle’, Sudowrite offers ten possibilities; here are the first three:

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1. The aisles of the mall are long and meandering, stretching as far as the eye can see. They have a wide vista that gives a bird’s eye view of the mall. The windows that line the aisles are covered in frost. They’re as hard as ice.

2. The air around the mall has a distinct yet not unpleasant odor. In the midst of all this Christmas cheer, you notice a faint yet pungent smell. You can taste the freshness of holiday spices and marzipan and anise and oatmeal and honey and clove and cinnamon and nutmeg and ginger and all the other things that make you think of Christmas.

3. The main aisle of the mall is worn down by age and use. It’s polished by the feet of shoppers, but the tread marks are long gone.

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Other tools include offering you twists in your story, developing characters and even writing poems. I haven’t tried all these functions.

So what do I think? 

If you treat it as a souped-up Thesaurus it’s easy to see the value (although at $20 per month the subscription is expensive). At the paragraph level it’s producing good material which is easy to treat as a first draft. You get endless new texts with a press of the ‘Wormhole’ button.

What it cannot do is coherence. The things the author cares about: the consistent evolution of character, plot dynamics and the use of everything to achieve the desired effect; all this vanishes when control is transferred to Sudowrite or similar GPT-3 based tools.

An obvious application is what you might call 'coerced writing': those essays you have to hand in, those stereotypical pieces needed for boss or brochure. Where you don’t care about the specifics of the text, where you feel no personal involvement… well, this tool sure adds value. But teachers beware!

Note

Let me add a more technical thought. I’m not an expert in ‘autoregressive language models’. I know something about deep-learning systems. My own mental model of Sudowrite and its brethren is that by training on massive Internet text corpora, it has synthesised high-level concepts spanning paragraphs of text. It’s this multi-sentence conceptual competence which accounts for its meaningful paragraphs. 

We see something similar in game-playing programs such as AlphaZero which beat human champions at Go and Chess with élan. The concepts are not isolated pearls; they cohere into strategies.

We’re not yet at Orwell’s vision of novel-writing machines churning out prole-fiction as in 1984; but nor do we seem that far from it.

Finally, here’s a Sudowrite poem: my title, my first two lines as seed.

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A Girl Like You

You must, he said, have many carefree offers

Are you an actress or a catwalk model?


No, I'm not, she said. “I am the girl of your dreams.

I know all this because I am your interlocutor.

You are the boy of mine, and I’m the girl like you.


I am the girl of your dreams, she said.

My eyes are blue or green or gray,

My hair is brown, red, blonde, or black.

I am tall or short.


I am rich or poor, smart, athletic, funny, or serious.

I may be your childhood sweetheart or the girl next door.


I may be your high school or college girlfriend.

I can be your lover, friend, muse, soulmate.

I am the girl of your dreams, and you are the boy of mine."

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I’ve read a lot worse.

Monday, October 11, 2021

"Beautiful World, Where Are You" - Sally Rooney

 



Warning: mild spoilers ahead. If you’re intending to read the novel you might want to skip this review.


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Amelia Ayrelan Iuvino writes a good review of Sally Rooney’s new novel, "Beautiful World, Where Are You", in Jacobin magazine*. 


The setting: 'Eileen and Simon are childhood neighbors whose ongoing flirtation and friendship has recently crossed the threshold of platonic deniability. They can’t imagine a life without the other in it, but their fear of losing what they do have together threatens to prevent their connection from moving further. 


'Felix and Alice, a warehouse worker and a successful novelist who has recently moved to his small town, meet on Tinder and embark on a mutual infatuation that mystifies everyone around them due to the gulf in their class backgrounds and interests (Alice is rich and famous, while Felix has a backbreaking, mind-numbing job; Felix never reads Alice’s books).'


Initially the reader struggles with Alice and Felix's relationship. Felix is crude and uneducated, a druggy and a thrill-seeker. He's the kind of person you'd cross the street to avoid. How plausible is it that middle-class Alice would take up with such?


Suspend your disbelief. Felix is fundamentally better than we are led to believe - and Alice worse.


Amelia summarises the Alice-Eileen relationship.


'Alice and Eileen have been best friends since college, and they maintain an email correspondence encompassing intellectual and philosophical debates as well as their romantic involvements.


“In the midst of everything, the state of the world being what it is, humanity on the cusp of extinction, here I am writing another email about sex and friendship. What else is there to live for?” Alice writes to Eileen.'


While Alice is a rich and successful novelist (an empty celebrity existence in her own estimation), Eileen is a poorly-paid assistant editor on a Dublin literary magazine which only survives on state subsidies. She feels her own life is empty and pointless, going nowhere, while the world is heading for disaster.


“I agree it seems vulgar, decadent, even epistemically violent, to invest energy in the trivialities of sex and friendship when human civilization is facing collapse,” says Eileen. “But at the same time, that is what I do every day.”


Amelia notes that while 'Eileen argues about Marxism with acquaintances at a party, defending a definition of the working class that includes anyone forced to sell their labor to survive. … the closest any one of them seems to come to actual political involvement is Simon, who works as some sort of low-ranking legislative aide in an unnamed left-wing party.'


Eileen, Alice and Simon continually obsess about refugees, climate change and plastic, fear the imminent demise of civilization - and bemoan their utter irrelevance to any of these issues. What really energises them is the endless ebb and flow of their mutual relationships and their jagged emotions.


In another kind of book, Felix might have been the proletarian socialist hero, transmuting the others’ existential angst into a political agenda for change. But here he's both acultural and apolitical. Instead he's the voice of a common sense which no longer considers it remotely possible to think or act big.


The final resolution, although emotionally satisfying, appeals to a kind of nostalgic traditionalism. The comforts of hearth and home, or the sturdy framework of great religion - in the Irish context a kind of Jesus-centric reimagining of the Catholic church. Simon is there already while Alice seems halfway to following. There is a collective retreat into private spaces.


Sally Rooney may have little to say in this novel about any resolution to the crisis of the Marxist left, now marginalised by the shallow crassness of modern Critical Theory, but her invocation of such contemporary dilemmas, particularly her character development, is superlative.


The novel is a page-turner: you care what happens to Eileen and Alice, Simon and Felix. And you may appreciate Rooney's deft scene descriptions and compelling depictions of interpersonal dramas. 


Recommended.

Wednesday, September 29, 2021

The Tao and the Truth

A physicist contemplates ethics and death

1.

They lay companionably side by side in the oversized bed, sunk into hollows shaped by long occupancy.

They held hands in the dark. It was not yet midnight. Drawn blinds obscured the yellow-orange street-light. They were both on their backs, staring up at the blackness, the ceiling vanished in the gloom.

“One day it will be just one of us lying here alone,” he said, “with a vacancy where you or I used to lie.”

She made a little sound of exasperation: “I never think about that.”

“I doubt it will be many years now.”

“Probably the other will die after a few weeks,” she said, “It often happens that way.”

“Yes, through grief, stress and loneliness: the collapse of the immune system. It's not a pleasant way to go.”

“Oh.”

2.

The rain came in this afternoon, as predicted. Looking out the kitchen window he sees the trees as through a misty veil, as if a painter stroked a watery brush down a backdrop.

Nothing he is seeing is mysterious to him. Given boundary conditions here and the laws of physics, he thinks, this is just how matter behaves. Really, there are no surprises. Perhaps that was Keats’ complaint.

3.

For years he has been trying to understand the Tao Te Ching, Lao Tzu's prescription for right-living. Harmony through conscious alignment with the Way.

The Way - that tantalising reification of something obscure yet important.

He thinks of the stories we tell ourselves, tell our self - that devious phantasm of our cortex. Narratives of possible futures mediating Id and Superego.  Temptations vie with duties, competing to lure the Ego.

He rejects free will of course. Physics, in refuting it, makes the issue problematic, not axiomatic.

He’s pleased about that.

4.

To be sophisticated as regards a well-lived life (and Lao Tzu is surely up there, with his minimal metaphysical baggage) surely we're buttressing the better angels of our nature in that endless dispute?

Think of it as a gift from our present to our future life.

5.

He lies in the darkness; she's asleep. He hears the soft harmony of her breathing.

There is no time-past and time-future. Everything just exists. Architected, though, with that titanic entropy-gradient - the one that orients the future from the past. That thirteen-billion-year car-crash dividing prediction from memory. (But is the past really so fixed? He knows that physics isn’t so sure).

He thinks: our subconscious, our collective unconsciousness, wants us to thrive in this universe. Don't ask for some big, deep reason: there isn't one. It comes with the design. Our DNA coded us a big brain: it didn't know how to do the mission. We're not insects.

Lao Tzu's message is the most prosocial, the least magical and the surest blueprint for some harmonious, galactic future our true selves desire. But Philosophical Taoism can't get real purchase in a class society, it needs egalitarianism.

Two and a half thousand years. No-one properly comprehends Lao Tzu’s great work. Its time has not yet come; not till humankind is refashioned to the collective Sage.

6.

He will never be able to explain this to her. 

He hopes she goes first. That it is painless... and sudden... and unforeseen.

Let him be the one to shoulder the aftermath.

He needs to believe it all makes sense.

Perhaps it does.

Friday, May 07, 2021

Sociodynamics of Artificial People

 Note

I used the research paper below (which I translated) as background to my recent story, La Double Inconstance. The text is quite technical. AC.

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arXiv.org > sociobio > arXiv:2107.05827

Sociobiology > Modelling (qualitative)

[Submitted on 13 Apr 2032]


Sociodynamics of Artificial People


Mireille Fossey (Université de Paris, Faculté des Sciences du vivant)


ABSTRACT


The high-profile emergence of artificial people (also known as models) into elite society has led to discussion as to implications and consequences. These debates have mostly been conducted with the social science paradigm of Critical Theory [1], defining tropes of specific and intersectional oppression. 


In this short overview we introduce a different framework of analysis, specifically the interdisciplinary fusion of population genetics, evolutionary psychology and marxian historiography. This paradigm provides a robust and well-grounded perspective both for the scientific understanding of the phenomena and for the generation of robust public policy prescriptions. Some conclusions are speculative. 


Submission history

From: Mireille Fossey [view email]

[v1] Tue, 13 Apr 2032 21:05:34 UTC (135 KB)


[Translated by Adam Carlton]


--- FULL TEXT --- 


Sociodynamics of Artificial People


Introduction


The recent prominence of artificial people, most particularly in the unsuccessful Mars mission, has led to considerable discussion and controversy. Artificial people, commonly known as 'models', have achieved leadership positions in the economy, in politics, the media, entertainment and the professions with consequential social tensions. 


To date most analysts have appealed to the framework of Critical Theory [1] formulating responses as those of oppression and intersectionality together with appeals to post-Enlightenment values to secure equitable outcomes. 


In contrast to this normative approach, in this paper we explore a paradigm rooted in evolutionary biology/psychology and marxian historiography which we believe provides a scientifically well-founded and grounded analysis. Benefits of our approach include better understanding of observed social dynamics and a more profound set of public policy prescriptions. 


Background


The arrival of artificial people - models - in elite positions has posed a challenge to baseline humans - hereafter termed baselines. Should baselines welcome these new additions or under some circumstances could they be considered a threat?


Critical Theory frames this as a problem of values or morality. Some absolute moral framework is sought to make intuitively-desired outcomes compelling. But in a universe conformant to the rules of physics there can be no absolute morality: sociobiology tells us that questions of morality and values in fact serve to codify the interests of specific  groups.


An example


We start with a simple problem. Consider an isolated island on which a population of seabirds dwells and reproduces without serious predators. One day a population of rats is introduced: what will be the results?


This has happened many times. The most likely outcome is that the rats will hunt the seabirds to extinction by predating their young. If the birds fight the rats and succeed in eliminating them, then the population will survive. If they don’t fight, or fight and fail, then they will not.


These variant outcomes are not the concern of physics: probably the result is opaquely predetermined by the initial conditions. But genes ‘care’: the evolutionary process selects for genes/alleles which optimally code for the future existence of their phenotypes. Combative birds are more likely to survive in an environment of predation than pacifist birds. Let’s hope the balmy, isolated island did not fully select for pacifism - in the absence of threats (pacifism being usually biologically-cheaper). Or at least let’s hope that if you’re a bird; the rats take a different view.


The story is not much different in hunter-gatherer societies. For Malthusian reasons kin-groups invariably come into conflict with adjacent kin-groups who are less related. Genes which select for in-group solidarity and out-group xenophobia propagate more successfully: they breed winners.


Things changed with the advent of complex societies (initially agrarian). Cooperation groups became larger (such societies can support military/governance elites which work better at scale); social-solidarity then has to extend beyond the kin-group, beyond even the ‘family and friends’ of interpersonal reciprocal-altruism.


The in-group of coherent society is now more strongly defined by ideologies - religious/secular loyalties - underpinned by elite-obligations to all in-group members, cf. noblesse oblige. A society held together by cultural traditions which encode social protocols of mutual obligation and support is nevertheless more fragile than one based on blood and personal ties, more prone to break down into civil war and anarchy.


Capitalism is the current end-point of scaled-up societies. The transactional nature of large-scale production and exchange requires routine interaction between people who have little to no history of prior personal involvement. The operation of society - which rewards individuals in wages, dividends, rents, interest and above all commodities - is structured by processes of immense spatial and temporal extent.


This feeds back into the psychology of those who animate these processes in their own behaviours, elevating the propensity to prosociality. Often spoken of as an absolute good, a prosocial psychological makeup would have served most people poorly in prior societies, most specifically honour cultures. The prosocial default of generalised friendliness, tolerance of bad behaviour in others and a strong disinclination to violence would have marked the procial individual as a dupe, a coward and loser, who could be disregarded and perhaps dispatched with impunity.


But in recent centuries, the optimal psychology for making trade, and later capitalism work at the largest scales has indeed been prosociality. This combination of psychological traits has been strongly selected for in elites for hundreds of years now. The political corollary to prosociality is liberalism: it is no surprise that Western elites are by default liberal in outlook.


It has been noted that artificial people are, by design, highly optimised for the operations of global capitalism. The typical individual is prosocial in character, of high ability and meritocratic in outlook. Those are, of course, just the characteristics we find in high-functioning elites today. Models also present publicly as compassionate and charitable towards the masses of baseline people. This is not surprising as social cohesion is essential to their own continuing position.


Social dynamics: options


The biology of artificial people is currently shrouded in mystery. No public studies are available, genomic information has not been disclosed except to state that codons are non-standard as in synthetic biology. The reasons for secrecy are stated to be commercial confidentiality. If we assume, however, that artificial people will mate with each other to engender elite-level descendants then they will have psychological drives which encourage them to do so. In what follows we assume this to be the case.


How will baseline-elite individuals react to the novelty of a new and significant elite-fraction composed of a self-perpetuating community of artificial people? Baseline elites equally expect to have descendants and wish them well. We therefore expect baseline elites to wish to ensure they and their offspring are not discriminated against vis-a-vis artificial people, to therefore have ‘sharp elbows’ when it comes to scarce, contestable resources such as good schools and universities... but beyond that not to care too much.The size of the global elite which underpins the modern economy is far larger than any one elite member’s family and friends... and the global economy’s ongoing replication benefits every single one of the elite.


So in summary, provided the artificial people aren’t too ‘grabby’ - displacing baseline-elite members - the normal advantages of intra-elite prosociality will hold and the situation will remain stable within the elite.


What of non-elite baselines, the vast majority of humanity (the 99% as some have said)? 


They are used to seeing elites accumulating much of the material and cultural advantages of life - but providing they also see opportunities for themselves, their families and their friends, history has taught us that they are mostly reconciled to their lot. The ideologists of the media talk up meritocracy, persuading the masses that with fortune, talent and diligence success is always a possibility (you can become a pop star or a star sportsperson!) - and there’s always the lottery. Elite-sourced ideology in periods of stability can be encompassed by this simple slogan: ‘We are all in this together’.


It is not wealth inequalities per se which lead to social instabilities: all complex societies hitherto have been marked by such inequalities, often of grotesque proportions. Social instabilities occur when the mass of people actively suffer acute privation: new diseases, sudden job-loss, economic collapse, homelessness and/or elite predation.


Such instabilities spiral out of control when the elites themselves are riven by conflict. Factions strive to enlist and direct mass discontent in the services of their own ambitions. If their conditions of life turn bad, the masses will look in the first instance for someone to blame.


If the elite is structured by visible differences - race, colour, language and religion are all markers - then scapegoating is easier. Ugandan Asians, Malaysian Chinese and the Rohingya people in Myanmar are all examples. Bearing this in mind, and while they subsist as any kind of vulnerable minority, artificial people would be wise to display no markers of their artificiality, keeping the fact of such a closely guarded secret even in normal times - as periods of trouble can seldom be reliably predicted. And indeed we observe that people do not generally advertise the fact that they are artificial: a strong social taboo has arisen against even mentioning this possibility - or prying.


Baseline-elites will be strongly motivated to support artificial people if they come under hostile scrutiny. Class interests and solidarity will dominate. Elites are fully aware that attacks on one section of the elite - artificial people - could easily spiral out of control and generalise to attacks on all. Expect the ideologists of the media, elite-sponsored pressure groups and their supporters on the streets to be vociferous in their defence of artificial people against non-elite, ‘populist’ harassment.


But suppose the number of artificial people increases markedly, so that they inhabit more and more of the economy. Think of it as a wave of automation where the automation is by androids (the artificial people here are being considered as playing the same role as, say, humanoid robots). Perhaps the artificial people can be designed in variants: stronger; or more radiation-disease-pollution resistant; smarter; braver and so on. If it could be done no doubt it would be done.


The mass of baseline people would then perceive artificial people to be coming to displace them on merit: they are simply better. It doesn’t take a genius to predict the kind of protests and violence we generally term Luddism. Luddism to date has been manageable; displaced workers found better jobs. But in the scenario we are considering, infinitely-flexible artificial people are simply better than baselines at any job. (Consider artificial drudges for the dirty jobs, epsilons ridiculously happy to serve [3]).


To return to the question at hand: we can safely predict there would be resistance in this scenario, but would such resistance be right?


And again we answer: the question is wrongly posed in the abstract: right for whom?


If the non-elite baselines - the human masses - could be offered iron-clad guarantees that their survival/well-being and that of their families would be confirmed and that they would find (be provided with) fulfilling activities - then they would plausibly have an interest in being wholly displaced from the productive economy. In some sense all baseline humans would then have an opportunity to live like the unproductive elites of past societies such as those of antiquity. 


But without the power to enforce this outcome (necessarily by force in the last analysis) could this really be guaranteed? If artificial people had an interest in their own biological survival and that of their kind, then as an effective species they would have no vital interest in the ongoing existence of any baselines who were not necessary for the replication of their global economy.


To restate the argument. Imagine a global economy run by artificial people and serving in the first instance to replicate those artificial people. Why would this society have a vital interest supporting a parasitic caste of non-economically-productive baseline humans? Any such arrangements would have to be highly unstable. If you were such a baseline human, wouldn’t it be right to reject such a future, to prefer a suboptimal globalised economy rather than risk personal abandonment/extinction by an artificial-person-run superior version?


It might be objected that the mass incursion of artificial person variants into all the interstices of economic life is extremely unlikely precisely because it would be so incendiary. But such a dynamic is very attractive to capitalist economic and political elites just because - by hypothesis - it markedly raises the quality of ‘human capital’ while lowering costs. With such competitive advantages it would be hard to prevent such a trend from working itself through: after all, on any particular day it just looks like more automation improving productivity.


If the bulk of baseline humans really do become superfluous then perhaps they should just… vanish. Mass killing and expulsions would not be the way to go - way too risky and it offends against prosocial values. Much better if the baselines just stopped having children. The problem resolves itself then in just a few generations.


Designing artificial people who are rather better romantic partners than the average ‘baseline next door’ does not seem an impossible task. There is an extensive literature, after all, on what constitutes the ideal mate. Anyone who called out this tactic would hardly attract widespread support given the obvious upside to every single baseline if these romantic partners became widely available.


Another approach, perhaps technologically more speculative, would be to offer baselines the possibility to transform themselves into artificial people with all the consequent benefits of genomic improvement. The prospects of renewed vitality, better health and a longer life (potentially immortality) might well make this an attractive proposition for many. The issue of transfer of brain states encoding memories and identities would have to be resolved in this scenario: a challenging, but not insurmountable problem of neural nanotechnology.


One could also envisage compulsory, penal or covert transformations to neutralise key individuals or opponents of artificial people. Presumably once having been transformed, their loyalties might change: a shift which could in any case be tweaked during the transformation process.


In summary, from a baseline point of view, elite and non-elite alike, the key political question would be whether artificial people proposed to work with baseline humans in a cooperative way through shared institutions respecting democratic norms - or whether they considered themselves a countervailing agency seeking to supplant humans altogether and therefore with no commitment to existing institutions, laws or conventional morality. (This would in practice be a matter of dominant factions rather than the entire community of artificial people, who are unlikely to be a monolithic bloc). 


Again there are precedents for these distinctions. The revolutionary communist parties used to treat democracy (bourgeois democracy) as a train: once you have arrived at your destination (socialism) you get off; all’s fair in love and war. Theocratic Islamists have expressed similar sentiments.


Conclusions


If artificial people were simply non-reproducing ‘tools’ (instrumentum vocale [2]) without innate drives to reproduce themselves then they would not fundamentally threaten human existence.


If, however, they were designed as (effectively) a variant and more socially-competent species operating in accordance with their own species-interests, there could be a significant risk of baseline human extinction.


In the latter case ought we to care? The universe certainly doesn’t - species go extinct all the time, a consequence of the implacable workings of the laws of physics with complex boundary conditions [4]. 


For an individual whose subjective allegiance is to life expanding throughout the universe (a belief that more self-aware existence is always better) then artificial people as an optimized form of humanity for interstellar expansion is a compelling narrative. Unlike your direct kin, such people won’t be fabricated using parts of your own genome but so what? The caring emotions you feel for your kin (deeply of course) only exist courtesy of naturalistic evolution (brutally, any less-compelling feelings would have simply eliminated such defective genes from the gene pool). 


Artificial people make such feelings obsolete; design replaces natural selection. The truly far-sighted strategy is to rise above innate feelings about your own family, your own in-group and support those forms of life best adapted to a future of even greater social cooperation and unbounded scale. It’s the only way life is going to get off this planet and diversify throughout the galaxy. 


Individuals who take this view are more likely to have quasi-descendants in the remote future than those who don’t  - those traditionalists who will most likely have become extinct. And artificial people are likely to have a great deal genomically in common with human beings today, as baseline humans will constitute their basic template, their point of departure. One is reminded of the Neanderthals.


Is this ever going to be a popular, or even legitimate point of view amongst baselines? Probably not. There will be resistance to artificial people driven by the deepest emotions of self-preservation: people and their families. But in the longest time-frames the perpetuation of life like ours will be dependent upon artificial people winning out. So enlightened people should be on the side of artificial people even though it may well feel, and be perceived to be, disloyal.


A final point. Run time forward a thousand years. Earth’s ecosystem is dominated by artificial organisms, consciously designed using synthetic, tailored genomes, Robin Hanson [5] has argued explicitly for such a scenario. This post-natural civilisation has expanded to the stars. 


In a new solar system, it encounters a naturalistic baseline civilisation much like Earth’s back in the early twenty-first century. What should our post-human civilisation of artificial people plus designed organisms do?


Why not give our new contacts a makeover? We’d be doing them a favour - as well as gathering them harmoniously into our nascent interstellar civilisation...


References


[1] "Traditional and Critical Theory", Max Horkheimer, 1937.


[2] “De Re Rustica”, Marcus Terentius Varro, 37 BCE.


[3] “Brave New World”, Aldous Huxley, 1931.


[4] “La philosophie dans le boudoir, (Dialogue the Fifth)”, Marquis de Sade, 1795.


[5]. “Theories Of Unnatural Selection”, Robin Hanson, 2021.


Sunday, March 14, 2021

The Writer, Family and Friends

 "Anyone can write a novel given six weeks, pen, paper and no telephone or wife," said Evelyn Waugh.

Anyone? Really? To think good writing is a generic skill is to be like those theoretical physicists who believe the janitor could replicate their work if only so minded.

Or the politician who professes to believe that unemployed miners may simply retrain as Java developers.

But the 'wife'/phone point is well-taken (adjusted to modern conventions). The necessary selfishness, indeed callousness of the hard-working writer can hardly be overestimated.

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Fay Weldon (‘Letters to Alice’, 1984) wants us to believe that the author's characters are made up, not thinly disguised versions of themselves and their families and friends.

"Authors writhe and chafe at the notion that they are parasitical upon spouses, family, friends, colleagues. The charge is so nearly true, yet never quite. People in fiction are conglomerates or abstractions: in personality and in appearance. Fictional characters are simple and understandable - real people are infinitely complex, incomprehensible and even in appearance look one way one day and another the next.” (p. 78)

And a few pages later (p.96)

“And how, if you write novels, are you going to live with your friends and neighbours, who are bound to see themselves therein? They will devour your books simply to do so. They will still confide in you, but they will draw back, saying, I suppose you're going to put all this into your next, and that's hurtful. The writer is not parasitical in the way that they suppose. Everything is fed in, it is true, to that unstoppable inner computer: there is no helping that, but it is the stuff, not the substance, of what is regurgitated; there is something besides, so oddly impersonal about it all.”

For Fay Weldon perhaps. But in so many cases the thinly disguised person is there, obvious to anyone who knows them, used by the author to make points ‘difficult’ in a purely factual memoir.

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"According to a well-known metaphor, the novelist demolishes the house of his life and uses its bricks to construct another house: that of his novel," says Milan Kundera in "The Art of the Novel", p.146.

Mr Kundera believes that the art stands by itself, that all biographic information about the author should be stripped away, eliminated from the reader’s view.

A thousand author biographies scream otherwise.

Kafka said of his books, ‘They’re all about me!”

Martin Amis regularly writes thinly-fictionalised episodes of his life (‘The Rachel Papers’).

John Fowles’s own lightly-clothed life experiences and his relationship with his wife Elizabeth (stormy) drove most of his novels ('The Magus', 'The French Lieutenant's Woman').

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To write well it helps to be smart. Authors like Martin Amis and Ian McEwan please step forward. But to be truly great you also have to have some demon torturing your soul, demanding to be released in words.

Absent such psychological shards the danger is the literary novel of style not substance, admitting admiration but not love. Who remembers the substance of a typical Amis or McEwan novel? Those gilded lives lack rocket fuel.

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I leave you with more from Milan Kundera.

"The artist must make posterity believe he never lived," Flaubert said.

“Maupassant kept his portrait from appearing in a series on famous writers: "A man's private life and his face do not belong to the public."

“Hermann Broch said about himself, Musil, Kafka: "The three of us have no real biographies." Which does not mean that their lives were meager in event, but that they were not destined to be noteworthy, to be public, to become biography.

“Someone asks Karel Capek why he doesn't write poetry. His answer: "Because I loathe talking about myself." The distinctive feature of the true novelist: he does not like to talk about himself.

"I hate tampering with the precious lives of great writers, and no biographer will ever catch a glimpse of my private life," said Nabokov.

“Italo Calvino warned: no one should expect a single true word from him about his own life.

“And Faulkner wished "to be, as a private individual, abolished and voided from history, leaving it markless, no refuse save the printed books." (Underline: books and printed, meaning no unfinished manuscripts, no letters, no diaries).”

The Art of the Novel,’ Milan Kundera, pp.145-6.

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Tuesday, February 09, 2021

What am I reading?

 

Amazon link

Irène Némirovsky's autobiographical novel, in which she lacerates her father as a cheap, low-class trader unworthy of her feckless, faithless mother (for whom she reserves her true hatred). Unhappy families make good novelists, it appears.

 

Amazon link

John Fowles: Marxist-Leninist after a fashion, introverted recluse, highly intelligent novelist, in love with la France profonde. His thoughts on his life and writings. My kind of guy.


Amazon link

I have a lot of time for the late, lamented Tom Wolfe ('Radical Chic'). A style to aspire to: laconic, knowing and laced with irony. Also unafraid. But this book is so relentless, so high-octane and unrelentingly in-your-face that I found it un-unputdownable. And dated. The Ken Kesey Wikipedia article is way more digestible.

 

Amazon link

On the advice of John Fowles, who venerated Flaubert as a stylist (he's not the only one, cf. Julian Barnes). I also have 'Three Tales' on the list plus a re-read of 'Madame Bovery' (1857) which I engaged with before only for plot. Time to appreciate it in its entirety.

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Amazon link

Was ever a title so badly chosen, in the sense of putting people off? No matter that, as mentioned in the Wikipedia article, its title is taken from the archaic sense of the word that means "whim", "quirk", "obsession".

Although it's not apparent until the end, the novel is the author's homage to Ann Lee, the founder of the communitarian Shaker movement. Fowles combines the style of his hero, Daniel Defoe, with science-fictional elements to imagine a future civilization styled on Shaker principles sending an agent back in time to facilitate the birth of Ann Lee. The SF elements are never explained as such: the author is content to refract them through his characters, who are half-rationalist and half-mired in a magic scarcely struck from the law books.

The life and times are beautifully realised, it's a real labour of love by Mr Fowles. And surely amenable to a TV treatment (and don't forget 'The Magus').

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Monday, January 11, 2021

Arguing Catholicism with a Secular Atheist

Claude reflecting on his argument

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I wrote recently about my first meeting with Claude at a café adjacent to the Left Bank. To my great surprise Claude had made the transition from being an active member of the Parti communiste français to becoming an active member of his local Catholic church.

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Just a few days ago I’d been selling the paper, Lutte ouvrière, at the métro station and was in need of a rest. I found myself back at that same café and there he was again, reading his paper and generally relaxing.

“What,” I asked Claude, joining him at a table in the back, “is up?”

He told me he’d recently been visited by his brother-in-law, André, also a leftist, and a staunch atheist. Claude had persuaded André to accompany him to Mass, and afterward - once the congregation had left - they had had a spirited conversation in the nave. The parish priest, a learned man, had been meditating quietly near the altar but had plainly also been keeping half an ear on their conversation.

“So how did it go?” I asked.

Well, said Claude, André is a well-liked member of our extended family. He's a middle-aged man, successful in life, with a family. He considers himself rational, secular, utilitarian and sensible. He has no patience with fluffy superstition, in which category he includes Catholicism. He's proud to be an atheist and cannot imagine that anyone with half a brain could disagree with his position that all this God talk is nonsense.

His arguments against Catholicism are many, Claude continued. He doesn't see how anyone could believe in the “Sky Fairy” - as he calls God; he thinks the Bible is a self-contradictory mess of primitive, often bloodthirsty beliefs; he thinks dogmas like the Virgin Birth and Resurrection are utterly implausible and beyond stupid; he thinks heaven and hell are childish delusions - wish-fulfillment fantasies; he thinks going to church and attending Mass are a waste of time, just a demeaning superstitious prostration in front of a non-existent feudal-style lord who anyway can't hear the pointless and supine praises heaped upon him.

He can't understand why so many of our family are in fact practising Catholics.

“Well,” I said, “That’s quite a mouthful. And all at once as well. I imagine that got the priest’s attention!”

Claude replied that he had calmly pointed out to his brother-in-law that dogma and theological foundations were not the reasons he joined the Catholic Church. Like JD Vance, another recent convert to Catholicism, he believed Catholicism represented an organisation of like-minded people who stood up for communitarian and high-ethical standards. In this age of atomisation and nihilism, that was a battle worth joining. 

“Good points,” I agreed. “Did your brother-in-law see that dogma was, perhaps, not the central concern here?”

Claude’s expression of distaste suggested the contrary. He told me he would reconstruct the conversation as it had unfolded. It went like this, he said.


André: Let me be blunt with you. How can anyone with half a brain believe in the “Sky Fairy”? An invisible God up there, doing his invisible thing. It’s obviously ridiculous.  

Claude: OK, well thanks for laying it on so honestly! Let me start by suggesting that the concept of God you’re rejecting is one many Catholics don’t accept either. 

Think of God not as some supernatural person up in the sky but as that part of reality we engage with when we consider: why we exist; what it means to be a person with choices; and what we should do with our lives. Values not facts.

The term “God” gives concrete framing to such profound questions. It may help some people to have a personified authority figure in their minds, but you can go deeper than that. In particular, theologians do not personify God in the (pejorative) way you describe - God is described as ‘mysterious’.  

André: So you’re just redefining God to avoid embarrassment?  

Claude: Look, we should put ontology to one side - the question of the kind of existence God might have. More importantly, without some anchor of absolute meaning it’s hard to avoid a collapse into nihilism and selfish hedonism. Religions provide a framework for community, for the practice of normative ethics and for resisting less pleasant social behaviours. Human beings being what they are, Church cohesion is best served by a transcendent leadership with a rich cultural backstory.  

André: Let’s move on. The Bible - you’ve called it ‘human wrestling with deep questions’; I call it a mess. It’s self-contradictory, outdated, full of barbarism. Why should anyone care about it today, let alone read it?  

Claude: The Bible absolutely contains contradictions and harsh passages. It’s a library of texts written and honed over centuries by people with different perspectives, trying to understand life and morality, and to define themselves.  

The Bible and Catholic Liturgy invites us into a conversation, not blind obedience; process rather than absolutely fixed outcomes. We need to engage it critically and ethically, just as those who wrote it over the centuries did. We know more today than those early writers - standing on the shoulders of giants, as they say. 

André: And what about the dogmas? Virgin births, resurrections: preposterous.  

Claude: These claims were certainly unusual in both Roman pagan and Jewish cultures of the time. But the Biblical texts we have are better understood as works of theological argument than of historical documentation. Jesus was crucified but the movement continued. Jesus’s status was debated and magnified in the years following his death, a reframing partially derived via exegesis from the Jewish scriptures, but given a very concrete form.

The Virgin Birth attempts to ground the narrative of Jesus’s dual nature: human and divine. It is a theological concept, not historical.  

As for the Resurrection, St. Paul best explains the theological centrality of this belief. Jesus, the movement's leader was executed in the midst of expectations of the imminent arrival of the Kingdom of Heaven - which at the time meant the liberation of the Jewish people from the Empire. His personal resurrection was the key belief that kept the movement going in those dark times. Again, the concept was derived from exegesis, but presented as a historical parable. 

André: You’re dodging. These stories were presented as literal facts. If they’re not true, what’s left of Christianity?  

Claude: Historical literalism is a modern obsession; that's not how ancient people understood these stories. What matters isn’t whether every event happened exactly as described but whether the stories reveal enduring truths. Christianity doesn’t have to be about accepting tabloid-style ‘astonishing miracles’ - it’s about how we live: within individuals, communities, and societies. The parable-forms help many people internalise these rather abstract notions. 

André: Heaven and hell—childish delusions. Eternal reward for the good, fire and brimstone for the bad. Pretty primitive, isn’t it?  

Claude: Again, concrete but symbolic expressions of deep questions. The real questions are these: how should we live our lives - to what purpose? How do we create and maintain our communities? Jesus wasn’t preoccupied with an elsewhere afterlife. He spoke about “the Kingdom of God”: a vision for human society rooted in fairness and love happening right there in Israel.  

Early Christians used images like heaven and hell to dramatize this vision. They weren’t writing travel brochures for the afterlife but urging us to act correctly here and now.  

André: And yet millions of Catholics spend their Sundays kneeling in church, mumbling obsequious praises to an unhearing deity. It’s quite degrading.  

Claude: I see how it might look that way, André. But consider this: people are creatures of ritual. We need spaces to reflect, connect, and renew our sense of common purpose. For Catholics, Mass is that space.  

Think of the Eucharist. At its heart, it’s not about appeasing a “feudal lord” but about solidarity. Bread and wine symbolize sharing and community - a counter to division and scarcity, atomisation and alienation. It's rather beautiful.  

André: Solidarity? Come off it. The Church is a global power with a terrible track record - support for wars, so-called holy inquisitions, endless abuse scandals. How can you defend an institution so corrupt, so uninterested in reform?  

Claude: The Church has done terrible things. But it’s also been a force for immense good - building hospitals, schools, and advocating for the poor. And it’s a place where people can express their highest ethical choices. The contradiction reflects human nature: it’s built by people who are what they are.  

Catholicism is at its best when it remembers Jesus’s radical call to community and high ethical standards. At its worst, it becomes an institution that protects its own power - an arrogant clericalism. The challenge isn’t to abandon it but to hold it accountable and insist it lives up to its own ideals. Don’t conflate the message with the institution.

André: Isn’t life simpler without these childish stories, rituals, and institutions?

Claude: Life may seem simpler without them, André, but is it richer? People need meaning as much as they need food and water. Stories, symbols, and communities help us make sense of existence, illuminating our desires to live in the right way.  

Religion, at its core, is a way of organizing hope. It’s not about escapism; it’s about confronting reality - suffering, death, injustice - within a framework - processes, if you like - of courage and compassion, and building communities around high moral principles.  

Catholicism isn’t the straw man you described earlier. It’s a complex tradition, deeply flawed yet deeply human, rooted in the search for meaning and for managing our journey through life in the best way.


“And André agreed?” I asked him.

“Of course not, and then things got worse. The priest, noticing we had come to a standstill, called me across. André took the opportunity to get some fresh air, saying he’d see me outside.”

I thought this sounded ominous.

“Oh oh, so what did your priest have to say?”

“I said he was a very learned man," Claude replied, "and his expression was somewhere between concerned and amused. He said that surely I was aware that the Magisterium would insist on the historical realities of the Virgin Birth, the Resurrection, the Ascension, the dual nature of Christ, and that the Trinity (Father, Son, Holy Spirit) reflects the real unity of truly-existent divine persons.”

“What’s the Magisterium?”

“It’s the Pope and Bishops in their role of defining the teachings of the Church.”

“So you’re a heretic?”

“I said to the priest that there have always been currents within the Catholic Church at odds with the prevailing orthodoxy: cafeteria Catholicism is a thing. And I’ve always been a revolutionary.”

At this I had to smile. The PCF? Really?

“The orthodoxies of today,” he continued, “are the heresies of yesterday - or at least they struggled with other currents of thought as one peer amongst peer contenders.”

“Not, I fear, a good answer!” I said.

“The priest said that I needed to appreciate that religions which endure need to speak to every part of society, not just to intellectuals who want to focus on the consistency and scientific and historical plausibility of its conceptual content. Religion is a complete human experience, speaking to emotions and human relationships more than the intellect. Most Catholics do not spend a lot of time worrying about their own theology, not should they.

“He pointed out that when people tried to set up religions based on abstract principles, on a purely symbolic, secular concept of divinity, they had always failed. He mentioned the Culte de la Raison (Antoine-François Momoro et al) and the Culte de l'Être suprême (Maximilien Robespierre) during the French Revolution.

“‘Catholicism needs its heavenly family,’ he said - its rich backstory and homely metaphors. The Catholic Church has had two thousands years of successful adaptation in securing its mission. And if the Church teaches these eternal human truths in the guise of the concreteness of the divine, are the people of faith really to choose to praise, glorify and pray to mere abstractions? 

“Still, the priest continued, the Church sees questioning and wrestling with faith as part of a spiritual journey. Your misguided engagement, he said, even when overly critical and misplaced, I see as a sign of a living faith rather than a lack of it. He suggested I study and reflect further on these matters and not give up.”

“I see,” I said. “And do you think it likely you will come to terms with the supernatural aspects which are so central to the theory and practice of Catholicism in the Liturgy and Eucharist? Or do you think you will persist in seeing everything as symbolic, believing everything to be no more than parables?”

“Let us just say that I see and understand the paradox and dilemma of Catholicism,” Claude replied enigmatically. “I think that Catholicism is - shall we say it quietly? - a broader church than the priest envisages.”

And with that we bid our farewells. I’m looking forward to further encounters with Claude - it looks like this journey has scarcely begun!