Friday, April 21, 2017
Sunday: select two from four
There are six choices (2 from 4). It's a real hard call. An additional constraint is that you'd expect one candidate from the left (top two) and one from the right (bottom two). But even that's not certain.
I said before that if François Fillon could get into the second round he'd likely win. If you followed the betting you'd have to go for Macron - Le Pen .. with Macron to win the in the run-off.
Somehow I can't see bubble-candidate Macron winning ... .
Update (Sunday 8.15 pm): looks like I was wrong.
Essential reading: "The French, Coming Apart" - via Steve Sailer.