Friday, April 21, 2017

Sunday: select two from four

There are six choices (2 from 4). It's a real hard call. An additional constraint is that you'd expect one candidate from the left (top two) and one from the right (bottom two). But even that's not certain.

I said before that if François Fillon could get into the second round he'd likely win. If you followed the betting you'd have to go for Macron - Le Pen .. with Macron to win the in the run-off.

Somehow I can't see bubble-candidate Macron winning ... .


Update (Sunday 8.15 pm): looks like I was wrong.


Essential reading: "The French, Coming Apart" - via Steve Sailer.

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