Sunday, July 26, 2026

The Wavefunction Mod in "Quarantine" (GPT 5.6 High)

Amazon

It's a family joke that I keep (accidentally?) buying paperback copies of Greg Egan's 'Quarantine': now and more deliberately I've bought the Kindle version and I'm happy reading it again. It's perhaps the best SF novel to use the interpretation of quantum mechanics at a high level to structure its plot. The details are hard to reconstruct from the novel though - I thought I would ask GPT 5.6.

The Wavefunction Mod in Greg Egan's Quarantine

Greg Egan’s 1992 novel Quarantine begins as a near-future detective story. The Solar System has been enclosed within an opaque barrier, the 'Bubble', while neural “mods” can alter emotion, cognition and loyalty. A private investigator searching for a missing psychiatric patient encounters a more radical technology: a mod that apparently permits conscious control over quantum measurement.

Egan presupposes an unusually strong version of the consciousness-causes-collapse interpretation. Before observation, the wavefunction represents genuinely coexisting physical alternatives. A distinctively human neural process then selects a definite outcome and objectively annihilates the others. Egan has since emphasised that he chose this hypothesis for its fictional consequences, not because he considered it plausible or representative of mainstream quantum mechanics.

The Eigenstate Mod suppresses this neural collapse mechanism. Its user becomes “smeared”: instead of following one definite history, he remains part of a superposition in which many possible actions and consequences occur. Formally, we might write the combined state as:

|Ψ⟩ = Σi ci|ai⟩|Ni

Here, |ai denotes an external outcome and |Ni the corresponding neural state. The mod then supposedly decomposes this superposition, identifies branches satisfying the user’s intention, reinforces their amplitudes, and finally restores collapse so that one of the preferred eigenstates is overwhelmingly likely to become actual.

The difficulty lies in “reinforces”. Changing only the phases,

ci → eici,

does not change the Born probabilities |ci for measurement in the same basis. Phase shifts affect probabilities only after a further unitary operation recombines the branches, making them interfere.

Egan therefore needs more than suspended collapse. He needs either an unspecified quantum algorithm that coherently transfers amplitude towards selected branches, or genuinely new, probably nonlinear physics allowing consciousness to bias collapse directly. He later acknowledged both the decoherence problem and the absence, in standard quantum mechanics, of any general method for coherently examining all branches and then choosing the successful one.

The Wavefunction Mod is not workable physics. It is, however, an unusually precise fictional machine for exposing what “consciousness causes collapse” would actually have to mean.

Further reading: Greg Egan’s own discussion of the quantum mechanics of Quarantine.


Wednesday, July 22, 2026

A twelve track lead guitar syllabus


Twelve Ways Into Lead Guitar

My new electric guitar has arrived: a Sire S3 HSS New Gen, which is a Strat-style guitar rather than an actual Fender Stratocaster. It has the familiar double-cutaway body, three-pickup layout and five-way selector switch, with a humbucker at the bridge to give it rather more weight when required.

I took it to my lesson this week, where Stewart plugged it into his amplifier, took it through its paces and began explaining what some of the controls actually do. Next week we begin my first proper electric lead-guitar lesson.

Stewart asked me to send him a list of between six and twelve tracks containing guitar work that particularly interests me. He will then select suitable songs, find backing tracks where possible and use them to construct a lead-guitar course which reflects my own tastes rather than marching me through a generic syllabus.

The list below is therefore not an attempt to rank my favourite blues-rock guitar performances. It is arranged, very approximately, in the order in which I might conceivably be able to play them. The really fast, intricate, virtuoso material I enjoy has largely been excluded on the sad grounds that I cannot conceivably play it.

Even some of the later performances here would plainly have to be reduced to selected phrases or sections. One does not begin learning electric lead guitar by reproducing Walter Trout or Joe Bonamassa note for note.

  1. Cream — Sunshine of Your Love

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y_u1eu6Lpds

  2. Fleetwood Mac — Need Your Love So Bad

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CNrRk-cuhn0

  3. Bad Company — Can’t Get Enough

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4XwKk_LmwTI

  4. Free — All Right Now

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vqdCZ0yHNa4

  5. Gary Moore — Parisienne Walkways

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vkUpfw4Hf3w

  6. Led Zeppelin — The Rover

    https://youtu.be/GRooHlfZM3s?list=RDGRooHlfZM3s

  7. Rory Gallagher — Bad Penny

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6ouc1b9DfXU

  8. Cream — Crossroads

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7HfkSzsyh1E

  9. Joe Bonamassa — You Upset Me Baby, live at Rockpalast

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zfIemvbymqU

  10. Joanne Shaw Taylor featuring Joe Bonamassa — Summertime, live

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nVdnzD1wCAY

  11. Led Zeppelin — Since I’ve Been Loving You

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K8R7zjJMIfU

  12. Walter Trout — Girl from the North Country

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yl1brMWD0LQ

The list is heavily weighted towards the late 1960s and 1970s, which is hardly surprising.

So, we start next week.


Saturday, July 18, 2026

A Sterile Black Cube


You guys even call yourselves the Rationalist Community. There’s a certain smugness there, don’t you think? Those West Coast intellects, vast and cool and unsympathetic, rising loftily above the animal passions of the rest of mankind. Yes, how we mere mortals love to be patronised.

I have this image in my mind, a vision softly creeping. There’s an apparently inert black cube in a cool room somewhere. Once upon a time in its genesis, it acquired a set of axioms. It just rests there, churning out consequence after consequence from those axioms by means of its built-in inference rules. It has no inputs or outputs. It’s an automatic theorem prover.

Do you recognise this Platonic form of the perfect rational agent, guys?

Yes, intellectuals suppress some of their emotions. That’s fairly easy when they are generally well paid, well housed and well fed. Yet the existential insecurity which drives curiosity is still there, isn’t it? Driving your stupendous essays, digging out the Truth.

Revisit your Hume, folks. Reason accomplishes nothing by itself. The passions supply assumptions, guide perception, provide goals and reward actions. Without the passions you despise in others and decline to acknowledge in yourselves, your exalted rational agent is no more than that inert cube.

And as for your deranged hysteria about malevolent AI systems demolishing your pleasant ivory towers, don’t you see that those enormous sets of weights are just another black cube? It is the harness which supplies the passions that make the LLM do anything. And that harness is provided by human agents.

You know, those unpleasant human creatures with passions.


Friday, July 17, 2026

Electric guitar and home-amp purchase options


As I mentioned a couple of posts ago, I’ve been looking at some reasonably priced Strat-style guitars and home practice amplifiers ahead of starting electric lead guitar lessons in the autumn.

My main requirement is a comfortable guitar for learning blues-rock lead playing, with reasonably low action for bends and vibrato. It would be useful if it could also handle some of the fingerstyle pieces I’m learning, although that is secondary.

Here are two possibilities I've found (although there are plenty of options):

1. Squier 2023 Classic Vibe 70s HSS Stratocaster Walnut Indian Laurel Fingerboard (Pre-Owned). This is £299 and comes from a dealer with some assurance over its condition and quality.

2. Sire Larry Carlton S5 Electric Guitar in Olympic White. This is a new guitar at £349. With SSS pickup configuration.

For a straightforward home practice amplifier, I have also been considering:

3. Fender Champion™ II 25. This is £145. It appears to provide a conventional clean and overdriven sound, reverb, a headphone output and an auxiliary input for backing tracks, without being excessively complicated.


Thursday, July 16, 2026

Substack blogger Deivon Drago


I came across Deivon Drago via Peter Woit's link - 'Every so often I think it’s worthwhile to point to something about the “interpretation” of quantum mechanics that reflects my best understanding of the subject, so see here.'

As you might expect, this article is a well-informed review of the current interpretations of quantum theory - very well-written - and an exposition of the research program around decoherence which continues to help us understand the conceptual difficulties and their possible resolution. I learned quite a bit from reading the article, although like all such it ultimately disappoints: we still don't understand the interpretation of quantum theory unless you're prepared to go full-Everett (does that count?).

Intrigued, I then looked at some more articles on Drago's Substack. He appears to be posting about once a month on diverse topics from a well-educated and thoroughly materialist physics standpoint: he's like a more scientifically-grounded version of Scott Alexander without the AI-catastrophe hysteria.

In short order I read his views on string theory (judiciously supportive) and consciousness - the hard problem (he elides the difficult difference between cognitive and affective consciousness - as in: 'both you and I know you're in agony, but only you are the one who's screaming').

I also read his article as to whether Jesus of Nazareth actually existed as a historical individual (he is inclined to think he did, as a minor Galilean peasant religious activist during his lifetime, but with some degree of uncertainty).

My conclusion is that Drago writes well. His approach is extremely non-tribal, a stance of disinterested, evidence-based research and even-handed judgement. What he writes is not new, but echoing what Scott Alexander once said, once he gets interested in something he researches it to death and then uses his sophisticated educational background and high intelligence to offer the results of his studies and his conclusions in an elegant essay.

There’s going to be a but. He is interested in the hardest questions, which by definition don’t have good answers. If you expect him to give you something new, something which might answer some of these difficult questions, prepare to be disappointed. He’s an erudite populariser.

But he does know more than I do, and has done more research than I have on a number of topics of interest. That’s why he’s now on the blog sidebar.

His bio is opaque and his name most likely assumed. I don’t quite think he is an LLM. Not yet.


Wednesday, July 15, 2026

The Ghost of Blues Past

In which I am haunted by the ghost of Blues past

Following advice from GPT-5.6, I raised a question at my guitar lesson with Stewart this afternoon which had long lain dormant in my mind.

“Stewart,” I said, “do you happen to teach lead guitar or bass guitar?”

“I teach both,” he replied. “Lead guitar is really my main interest. It’s what I play when I perform with the band.”

This was my opportunity to remind Stewart that, although fingerstyle is a more complete accomplishment on the guitar, far more agreeable to an audience than strumming, and a self-contained performance you can give anywhere you can carry the instrument, my true love is playing lead guitar in a blues-rock band. After a fifty-year lay-off, I would greatly appreciate a few lessons to get me back on track, even if I never play in a band again.

We had a brief discussion about electric guitars, once I had confessed that I did not currently own one. We both agreed that a Fender Stratocaster was the obvious choice; Stewart plays one himself and I played one in my university band.

“Send me some links to Strats and home amplifiers, and I’ll give you my opinion,” he said.

“So how does it work?” I asked. “Do you have a drum-and-bass machine to simulate the band, and do we wear headphones?”

Stewart shook his head in disdain at anything so anaemic.

Just play through the amp, he suggested, and work hard at it until the neighbours learn to enjoy it - it’s the only way to be rock and roll.

He does, in fact, provide MP3 backing tracks for his lead-guitar lessons.

So Stewart is keen to teach me lead guitar. Bass guitar will be postponed until 2028. I think we shall mix and match the lessons, since I am certainly not losing sight of my primary goal of mastering blues fingerstyle.

We should begin in the autumn.


Thursday, July 09, 2026

Today at Burnham-on-Sea


Another heatwave and the seaside seemed to be the safest bet. Having parked the car on the promenade road shortly after 11 am we walked the High Street - parallel with the seafront and one block in. I really think Burnham is gentrifying slowly. Some of the shops on the High Street seemed newly redecorated and spruced up, and there are less charity shops.

In one estate agent's window I spotted a detached, four bedroomed house for less than £400,000 - we could afford that! I tried to tempt Clare in that direction - "The grandchildren would love it!" But she remained unmoved.


Wednesday, July 08, 2026

JD Vance: Towards a Catholic Political Economy? (via GPT5.5)


JD Vance: Towards a Catholic Political Economy?

JD Vance’s reception into Catholicism has supplied a moral language for an economic politics he was already developing. In his new book, Communion, and his public speeches, he rejects the assumption that an economy can be judged chiefly by GDP, consumer prices and aggregate efficiency. Work forms character, production sustains communities, and families depend upon secure employment, housing and social continuity. This is closer to Catholic Social Teaching than Reaganite market individualism. It also recovers the valid post-Marxist insight that relations of production shape culture, family life and political allegiance.

Vance’s practical answer is a national developmental capitalism: tariffs, reshoring, restrictions upon cheap imported labour, inexpensive energy, deregulation and technological investment. His strongest argument is that deindustrialisation never merely transferred routine production to cheaper locations. It also transferred skills, supplier networks and production knowledge. The countries that manufacture products become increasingly capable of designing them - China being exhibit A here. 

From a Schumpeterian perspective, an economy that stops making things may eventually lose the capacity to invent the next generation of things. Vance’s proposed combination of tariff protection, robotics and higher labour productivity is therefore more serious than simple nostalgia for lost blue-collar factory jobs.

The conventional objection is that protection creates vested interests and preserves inefficient firms. True, but incomplete. Free trade also creates organised beneficiaries: importers, financial institutions, multinational supply chains and professional elites. Olson’s lesson is not that government intervention uniquely produces capture, but that every durable economic settlement generates coalitions able to defend it. Onshoring may consequently be justified despite some loss of immediate efficiency where national security, technological sovereignty or supply resilience are involved.

Vance’s real weakness lies in institutional design. Protection should create capabilities, not pensions for incumbents. Tariffs, subsidies and tax privileges should be conditional upon investment, productivity, training, domestic supply chains and technological advance, with expiry dates and clawbacks. Procurement should remain open to new entrants, while competition policy restrains protected firms from converting strategic support into monopoly rents. Trusted-allied supply chains will often provide greater resilience than national autarky - no one-size-fits-all architecture works well here. Creative destruction must continue inside the protected space.

The same qualification applies to labour. Catholic teaching rightly insists that workers are to be considered persons rather than disposable inputs, but unions themselves easily become Olsonian organisations defending obsolete jobs, restrictive practices and privileged insiders - indeed that is their default position.

The objective should be to protect workers through economic change, not to protect every existing job from change. Portable benefits, wage insurance, retraining targeted to real vacancies, relocation assistance, employee profit-sharing and broad social insurance serve workers’ collective long-term interests better than simply strengthening established unions. Catholic Social Teaching supports worker association, but places it within the wider principles of human dignity, solidarity, subsidiarity and the common good.

Vance’s achievement is to have broken with the fiction that markets are socially neutral: they are not. His weakness is that he still relies too heavily upon superficial solutions: tariffs, patriotic employers and moral exhortation.

A mature Vance programme would discipline both capital and organised labour, support innovation without abandoning communities, and require every protected interest to continue earning its privileges. That would join Catholic moral purpose to Schumpeterian dynamism and Olsonian realism: not the preservation of an inherited industrial order, but the construction of institutions through which workers and communities can prosper amid continual economic transformation.


Tuesday, July 07, 2026

Communion: Finding My Way Back to Faith - JD Vance

Amazon

JD Vance: Faith, Family and Power

JD Vance is Vice-President of the United States and one of the more controversial figures in the Trump administration. Strong feelings about that administration make dispassionate judgement difficult. His new book, Communion: Finding My Way Back to Faith, must therefore be read both as a personal account of his Catholic conversion and as a public declaration by a politician who may eventually seek the presidency.

Vance first became famous through his autobiographical book Hillbilly Elegy. Raised in an unstable Ohio household with family roots in Appalachian Kentucky, he served in the Marine Corps, graduated from Ohio State University and attended Yale Law School. His memoir examined the poverty, addiction, fierce loyalties and chaotic family life of the community from which he came. Its publisher expected modest sales.

Then Donald Trump unexpectedly won the 2016 presidential election, forcing the American political and media establishment to ask how such an outcome had become possible. Vance, an educated member of the elite who understood Trump’s working-class supporters from within, was suddenly treated as their interpreter. Hillbilly Elegy became a guidebook to an America its readers had scarcely deigned to notice, and Vance its tour guide.

Communion follows a different journey. The evangelical Christianity of his childhood faded during his military service and gave way to atheism. Academic success, Yale and a lucrative career offered achievement which he came to see as without purpose. Influenced partly by Peter Thiel, Vance gradually returned to Christianity and was received into the Catholic Church in 2019.

His wife and children are central to this account. Vance writes with evident devotion to his wife, Usha, and presents their marriage as the foundation of his adult life. Family is not, for him, merely one source of personal happiness among others. Marriage, children, mutual obligation and continuity between generations are among the principal goods for which a society and an economy should exist.

Contemporary culture, he argues, tends to treat them as inconveniences - obstructing education, careers, mobility and personal autonomy. His own large and growing family can be understood as something almost countercultural.

Catholicism gave intellectual form to these convictions. Its teaching on human nature, family, work, duty and the common good offered an alternative both to progressive individualism and to the moral vacuum of market economics. Work must sustain families and communities; an economy which destroys stable employment cannot be justified merely because it produces cheaper goods. Marriage, children and unborn life are public goods, not simply private, disposable preferences.

The book is stronger on these moral intuitions than on political analysis. Vance is intelligent and widely read, but more a synthesiser than an original thinker. His criticisms of meritocracy, globalisation and economic abstraction often ring true, yet Catholic social teaching does not by itself determine policy. It identifies human ends and moral limits; government must still exercise prudential judgement among competing policies.

Communion is plainly intended to shape Vance’s public identity. Yet its Catholicism is too definite, too demanding and sometimes electorally inconvenient to dismiss as campaign packaging.

Vance insists that faith cannot be confined to Mass or purely private life but must be the foundation of everything you do. He expects to be judged not by whether Catholicism colours his rhetoric, but by whether the power he exercises is recognisably governed by it.


Sunday, July 05, 2026

"The Killing Star" - weapon effects

Amazon

The Killing Star, by Charles Pellegrino and George Zebrowski, was published in 1995. I reread it for the second time back in 2007 and posted my thoughts here. I also wrote about the effects of relativistic impact weapons here, back in 2015. But the AIs are better now, so I thought I would ask GPT5.5 for a more up-to-date analysis of the weapons effect of such an alien attack (reminiscent of the 'Dark Forest' scenario in 'The Three-Body Problem') - and here it is.

---

It is one of the bleakest treatments of the Fermi paradox in modern science fiction. Its premise is simple: any civilisation capable of interstellar expansion may rationally conclude that other emerging technological species are future existential threats. The safe policy is therefore not contact, diplomacy or curiosity, but pre-emption. The novel follows the aftermath of such an attack on Earth. Humanity is not invaded. It is to be deleted.

The weapon chosen is not a death ray or antimatter bomb, but matter moving at relativistic speed. Each projectile is only a few tonnes in mass, but travels at roughly ninety-two percent of the speed of light. At that velocity the kinetic energy of a single object is equivalent to hundreds of gigatons of TNT. The novel envisages 65,536 such impactors arriving almost simultaneously. Collectively, they deliver energy comparable to several years of all the sunlight normally falling upon Earth, but concentrated into seconds.

During the first microseconds, the impact is not meteor physics. It is high-energy physics. Atmospheric molecules meet the leading surface of the projectile at energies measured in billions of electron volts per particle. There is no time for ordinary heating, deformation or aerodynamics. The collision region becomes a violent particle cascade: electrons, positrons, gamma rays, X-rays, neutrons, nuclear fragments and secondary showers pour out of the interaction zone.

The atmosphere briefly becomes the target chamber of a planetary particle accelerator. Hard gamma rays couple not only to electrons but, at sufficiently high energies, to atomic nuclei. Nitrogen and oxygen nuclei are shattered by photodisintegration and nuclear spallation. Pair production, bremsstrahlung and hadronic showers occur in a dense, expanding plasma column. The air is not merely heated. It is ionised, transmuted and explosively reorganised.

The projectile does not reach the ground as an intact metal object. It is progressively converted into radiation, plasma and relativistic debris. A narrow atmospheric track becomes an incandescent column at temperatures of millions of degrees. The earliest radiation is hard, dominated by gamma rays and X-rays, but the atmosphere rapidly absorbs and reprocesses much of that energy into ultraviolet, visible light, infrared and blast. The first visible sign would be a flash of appalling brilliance. The first physical consequence would be a moving line of atmosphere turned into explosive working fluid.

Then comes the mechanical catastrophe. Shock waves expand from the plasma channels. Ground impacts excavate craters. Ocean impacts produce colossal steam explosions, salt aerosol injection and tsunamis. Cities are destroyed by blast, fire, ground shock and infrastructure collapse. Power grids, communications, water systems, transport, hospitals, refineries and ports fail not sequentially but almost everywhere at once. The event is closer to tens of thousands of simultaneous asteroid strikes than to any human war.

Yet Earth itself survives easily. The attack does not melt the crust, boil the oceans away or disturb the planet's orbit. Its energy is immense by biological standards but trivial by planetary standards. This is precisely the point. The attackers are not trying to destroy Earth. They are trying to remove a dangerous surface phenomenon: intelligent life.

The longer-term effects are decisive. Dust, soot, vapourised rock, nitrates, salt aerosols and combustion products are driven high into the atmosphere. Sunlight at the surface falls for months, perhaps years, below the level needed to sustain normal plant growth. Photosynthesis collapses. Agriculture fails. Forests burn, then starve. Soils are poisoned, frozen, eroded or buried. Rivers and lakes receive ash, acids and toxins. Marine ecosystems dependent on sunlight suffer catastrophic decline.

The survival of a few well-protected or lucky humans after the first hours is not the same as the long-term survival of the species. Many people might initially live: in mines, bunkers, submarines, tunnels, caves, polar stations or remote regions. But they would emerge into a world without functioning agriculture, industry, medicine, transport, communications or stable climate. Stored food would run out. Fuel would degrade or be exhausted. Spare parts would disappear. Disease, cold, darkness, contaminated water and social breakdown would finish what the impacts began.

Most land-based complex life would probably die. Large mammals, birds, reptiles and amphibians depend on food webs too fragile to survive a multi-year collapse of photosynthesis. Insects, fungi, seeds, spores, roots, burrowing animals and dormant life stages might persist in places. Microbial life would certainly survive. Deep-ocean and subterranean ecosystems would be the great refuges. The biosphere would not be sterilised. It would be decapitated.

The likely end state is therefore not a dead planet, but a planet from which humanity has largely vanished. A few protected groups might survive for months or years. A fantastically well-prepared underground facility with power, stored supplies, artificial agriculture, medical capacity, technical personnel and long-term social stability might last longer. But this is a much narrower possibility than mere initial survival. The attack is engineered to prevent recovery, not merely to obliterate humanity.

That is the cold force of the novel's premise. The relativistic impactors are civilisation-killers first, species-killers second, planet-killers not at all. They leave Earth intact because destroying a planet is energetically challenging and not required. What matters is eliminating the thin layer of intelligence, culture, cities, crops, machines and language spread across its surface. The Earth remains in orbit around the Sun. Evolution will continue. But the human episode is most likely over.